The PGA Tour returns to Golf Club of Houston for the first time since April 2018 for the Houston Open.
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
- Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
- Bogey Avoidance
- Par Efficiency: 450-500 Yards
My model is set to the most recent 36 rounds played by each golfer in the field.
Houston Open – Tier 1
Brian Harman (+2200)
Harman enters the week in top form with a T-3, T-14 and T-18 in his three events this season. He hasn’t finished higher than T-52 in Houston in four tries since 2014 (two missed cuts), but he leads the stat model with ranks of first in Bogey Avoidance, sixth in SG: Ball Striking and seventh in SG: Approach.
Scottie Scheffler (+3300)
Likewise, Scheffler has gotten off to a strong start this season. The Korn Ferry Tour grad was T-7 at A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier, T-16 at the Sanderson Farms Championship and T-74 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. He won twice on the KFT last season and faces similar competition this week.
Houston Open – Tier 2
Bronson Burgoon (+6000)
Burgoon started the season with a T-19 at The Greenbrier and followed it up with a T-6 at Sanderson Farms. He then missed the cut at the Safeway Open and is coming off a T-55 last week. He was T-24 in his first appearance here last season. The 32-year-old has a strong approach game and can take advantage of so-called easier courses like GC of Houston.
Doc Redman (+8000)
Redman ranks fourth in the field in SG: Ball Striking. He was the runner-up against slightly stiffer competition at last year’s Rocket Mortgage Classic and was sixth among those to make the cut last week in SG: Approach at 1.49 strokes gained per round on approach. He lost 0.46 strokes per round putting and would be in contention with a more average performance with the flat stick.
Houston Open – Longshots
Matt Every (+10000)
Every was T-8 at this event in 2018 following a T-65 in 2017 and an 80th-place finish in 2016. After starting this Tour season with a missed cut, a withdrawal, and another missed cut, he was T-18 at the Shriners last week. He led the field in SG: Approach and was fifth in SG: Tee-to-Green.
Johnson Wagner (+12500)
Wagner won here in 2008 as one of three career PGA Tour victories. He was T-2 in 2015 and made the cut in each of his following three appearances. He’s worth a shot at long odds as a former champion in a weak field.
|Ted Potter Jr.||200/1|
|Dawie Van Der Walt||400/1|
|Bo Van Pelt||500/1|
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